新書推薦：
《
柏拉图《理想国》指南（想读《理想国》，一直看不懂？这本书就是你的哲学通关攻略）
》
售價：HK$
87.8
《
你的代谢还好吗：控制“五高”饮食运动法
》
售價：HK$
54.8
《
战国史料编年辑证（全二册）（杨宽著作集）
》
售價：HK$
272.8
《
流动的世界想象：中国当代电影与视觉文化
》
售價：HK$
74.8
《
传播与帝国：1860—1930 年的媒体、市场与全球化（跨洲史料详尽呈现全球通信全景，资本视角重新定
》
售價：HK$
98.8
《
不再为他人而活：接纳自我的阿德勒心理学
》
售價：HK$
64.9
《
马可波罗和他的世界 蒙古世纪全球史陆海书系
》
售價：HK$
85.8
《
更生：中国文明与人文精神重塑
》
售價：HK$
162.8
|
| 內容簡介： |
Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness
來源：香港大書城megBookStore,http://www.megbook.com.hk
is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think
about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader,
renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and
New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a
modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck
and skill.
This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive
and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop
of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for
skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides
captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all
our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author
tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of
the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom
have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the
baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl
Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier
George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the
fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in
his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious
foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains
unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the
right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such
individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s
insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by
chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the
genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent
messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves
against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading
Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS:
Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time
A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year
“[Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom
approximately what Martin Luther’s ninety-five theses were to the
Catholic Church.”
–Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink
“The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand
grenade.”
–Maggie Mahar, author of Bull! A History of the Boom,
1982—1999
“Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you.”
–Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving
“Recalls the best of scientistessayists like Richard Dawkins . .
. and Stephen Jay Gould.”
–Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World’s Best
Companies Simulate to Innovate
“We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly
independent-minded.”
–Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance
“Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and]
extreme brilliance.”
–National Review
“If asked to name the five best books written about markets,
Fooled by Randomness would be on my list.”
–Jack D. Schwager, author of Market Wizards: Interviews with Top
Traders
“Excellent and thought-provoking . . . an entertaining
book.”
–Financial Times
|
|
購物車/收銀台(0) | 在線留言板
| 付款方式
| 運費計算
| 聯絡我們
| 幫助中心 |
加入書簽
HOME
新書上架
暢銷書架
